Translate this page to any language by choosing a language in the box below.

Are hurricanes more frequent or severe than in the past: No

Are hurricanes more frequent or severe than in the past: No!

When news media want viewers, they will say anything, Now they are telling us that hurricanes are more frequent and/or more severe than in the past. Climate Change!

Nonsense. The facts just don't support either claim. Here are the facts, from NOAA and other reputable sources (cited below). Many of these alarmist claims are based on flawed models using project assumptions and coming from bias researchers who have a political and/or profit incentive to be extreme. Two recent peer reviewed studies found a large degree of bias towards warmer projections, in some cases projecting warming 4 to 5 times faster than actual observed temperature data. There is an excellent article which points out the many fallacies that the news media and the models make here.

U.S. Hurricane Strikes by Decade 1850 to 2004 - From NOAA

---

Number of hurricanes by Saffir-Simpson Category to strike the mainland U.S. each decade.

Decade	Saffir-Simpson Category1					All 1,2,3,4,5	Major 3,4,5
	1	2	3	4	5
1851-1860	8	5	5	1	0	19	6
1861-1870	8	6	1	0	0	15	1
1871-1880	7	6	7	0	0	20	7
1881-1890	8	9	4	1	0	22	5
1891-1900	8	5	5	3	0	21	8
1901-1910	10	4	4	0	0	18	4
1911-1920	10	4	4	3	0	21	7
1921-1930	5	3	3	2	0	13	5
1931-1940	4	7	6	1	1	19	8
1941-1950	8	6	9	1	0	24	10
1951-1960	8	1	5	3	0	17	8
1961-1970	3	5	4	1	1	14	6
1971-1980	6	2	4	0	0	12	4
1981-1990	9	1	4	1	0	15	5
1991-2000	3	6	4	0	1	14	5
2001-2004	4	2	2	1	0	9	3
1851-2004	109	72	71	18	3	273	92
Average Per Decade	7.1	4.7	4.6	1.2	0.2	17.7	6.0

Continental United States Hurricane Impacts/Landfalls 1851-2021 from NOAA Hurricane Research Division (Revised in each April to add in the previous year's season)
Year	Month	States Affected and Category by States	Highest Saffir- Simpson U.S. Category	Central Pressure (mb)	Max Wind (kt)	Name
1850s
1851	Jun	TX, C1	1	974	80	-----
1851	Aug	FL, NW3; I-GA, 1	3	955	100	"Great Middle Florida"
1852	Aug	AL, 3; MS, 3; LA, 2; FL, SW2, NW1	3	961	100	"Great Mobile"
1852	Sep	FL, SW1	1	982	70	-----
1852	Oct	FL, NW2; I-GA, 1	2	965	90	"Middle Florida"
1853	Oct	* GA, 1	1	965	70	-----
1854	Jun	TX, S1	1	982	70	-----
1854	Sep	GA, 3; SC, 2; FL, NE1	3	950	100	"Great Carolina"
1854	Sep	TX, C2	2	965	90	"Matagorda"
1855	Sep	LA, 3; MS, 3	3	945	110	"Middle Gulf Shore"
1856	Aug	LA, 4	4	934	130	"Last Island"
1856	Aug	FL, NW2; I-AL, 1; I-GA, 1	2	965	90	"Southeastern States"
1857	Sep	NC, 2	2	961	90	-----
1858	Sep	NY, 1; CT, 1; RI, 1; MA, 1	1	976	80	"New England"
1859	Sep	AL, 1; FL, NW1	1	982	70	-----
1859	Oct	FL, SW1, SE1	1	974	80	-----
1860s
1860	Aug	LA, 3; MS, 3; AL, 2	3	945	110	-----
1860	Sep	LA, 2; MS, 2; AL, 1	2	965	90	-----
1860	Oct	LA, 2	2	965	90	-----
1861	Aug	* FL, SW1	1	978	70	"Key West"
1861	Sep	NC, 1	1	985	70	"Equinoctial"
1861	Nov	NC, 1	1	985	70	"Expedition"
1862	None
1863	None
1864	None
1865	Sep	LA, 2; TX, N1	2	965	90	"Sabine River"
1865	Oct	FL, SW2, SE1	2	969	90	-----
1866	Jul	TX, C2	2	965	90	-----
1867	Jun	SC, 1	1	985	70	-----
1867	Oct	LA, 2; TX, S1, N1; FL, NW1	2	965	90	"Galveston"
1868	None
1869	Aug	TX, C2	2	965	90	"Lower Texas Coast"
1869	Sep	LA, 1	1	982	70	-----
1869	Sep	RI, 3; MA, 3; NY, 1; CT, 1	3	963	100	"Eastern New England"
1869	Oct	& ME, 2; MA, 1	2	965	90	"Saxby's Gale"
1870s
1870	Jul	AL, 1	1	982	70	"Mobile"
1870	Oct	* FL, SW1, SE1	1	970	70	"Twin Key West (I)"
1870	Oct	FL, SW1	1	977	80	"Twin Key West (II)"
1871	Aug	FL, SE3, NE1, NW1	3	955	100	-----
1871	Aug	FL, SE2, NE1	2	965	90	-----
1871	Sep	FL, NW1, SW1	1	982	70	-----
1872	None
1873	Sep	FL, NW1	1	982	70	-----
1873	Oct	FL, SW3, SE2, NE1	3	959	100	-----
1874	Sep	FL, NW1; SC, 1; NC, 1	1	981	80	-----
1875	Sep	TX, C3, S2	3	955	100	-----
1876	Sep	NC, 1; VA, 1	1	980	80	-----
1876	Oct	FL, SW2, SE1	2	973	90	-----
1877	Sep	LA, 1; FL, NW1	1	982	70	-----
1877	Oct	FL, NW3; I-GA, 1	3	955	100	-----
1878	Sep	FL, NW2, SW2, NE1; SC, 1; GA, 1	2	970	90	-----
1878	Oct	NC, 2; VA, 1; MD, 1; DE, 1; NJ, 1; I-PA, 1	2	963	90	-----
1879	Aug	NC, 3; VA, 2; MA, 1	3	971	100	-----
1879	Aug	TX, N2; LA, 2	2	964	90	-----
1879	Sep	LA, 3	3	945	110	-----
1880s
1880	Aug	# TX, S3	3	931	110	-----
1880	Aug	FL, SE2, NE1, NW1	2	972	90	-----
1880	Sep	NC, 1	1	987	70	-----
1880	Oct	FL, NW1	1	982	70	-----
1881	Aug	GA, 2; SC, 1	2	970	90	-----
1881	Sep	NC, 2	2	975	90	-----
1882	Sep	FL, NW3; I-AL, 1	3	949	110	-----
1882	Oct	FL, NW1	1	985	70	-----
1883	Sep	NC, 2; SC, 1	2	965	90	-----
1884	None
1885	Aug	SC, 2; NC, 1; GA, 1; FL, NE1	2	970	90	-----
1886	Jun	TX, N2; LA, 2	2	970	85	-----
1886	Jun	FL, NW2; I-GA, 1	2	970	85	-----
1886	Jun	FL, NW2; I-GA, 1	2	970	85	-----
1886	Jul	FL, NW1	1	982	70	-----
1886	Aug	TX, C4	4	925	130	"Indianola"
1886	Sep	# TX, S1, C1	1	973	80	-----
1886	Oct	LA, 3; TX, N2	3	950	105	-----
1887	Jul	FL, NW1; I-AL, 1	1	978	75	-----
1887	Aug	* NC, 1	1	946	65	-----
1887	Sep	TX, S1	1	973	75	-----
1887	Oct	LA, 1	1	978	75	-----
1888	Jun	TX, C1	1	982	70	-----
1888	Aug	FL, SE3, SW1; LA, 2; I-MS, 1	3	945	110	-----
1888	Oct	FL, NW2, NE1	2	970	95	-----
1889	Sep	LA, 1	1	982	70	-----
1890s
1890	None
1891	Jul	TX, C1, N1	1	974	80	-----
1891	Aug	FL, SE1	1	985	70	-----
1892	None
1893	Aug	NY, 1; CT, 1	1	986	75	"Midnight Storm"
1893	Aug	GA, 3; SC, 3; I-NC, 1; FL, NE1	3	954	100	"Sea Islands"
1893	Sep	LA, 2	2	970	85	-----
1893	Oct	LA, 4; MS, 2; AL, 2	4	948	115	"Chenier Caminanda"
1893	Oct	SC, 3; NC, 2; I-VA, 1	3	955	105	-----
1894	Sep	FL, SW2, NE1; SC, 1; VA, 1	2	975	90	-----
1894	Oct	FL, NW3; I-GA, 1; NY, 1; RI, 1; CT, 1	3	950	105	-----
1895	Aug	# TX, S1	1	963	65	-----
1896	Jul	FL, NW2	2	970	85	-----
1896	Sep	RI, 1; MA, 1	1	985	70	-----
1896	Sep	FL, NW3, NE3; GA, 2; SC, 1; I-NC, 1; I-VA, 1	3	960	110	-----
1897	Sep	LA, 1; TX, N1	1	978	75	-----
1898	Aug	FL, NW1	1	982	70	-----
1898	Aug	GA, 1; SC, 1	1	980	75	-----
1898	Oct	GA, 4; FL, NE2	4	938	115	-----
1899	Aug	FL, NW2	2	979	85	-----
1899	Aug	NC, 3	3	945	105	-----
1899	Oct	NC, 2; SC, 2	2	955	95	-----
1900s
1900	Sep	TX, N4	4	936	120	"Galveston"
1901	Jul	NC, 1	1	983	70	-----
1901	Aug	LA, 1; MS, 1; AL, 1	1	973	75	-----
1902	None
1903	Sep	FL, SE1, NW1	1	974	80	-----
1903	Sep	NJ, 1; DE, 1	1	990	70	-----
1904	Sep	SC, 1	1	985	70	-----
1904	Oct	FL, SE1	1	985	70	-----
1905	None
1906	Jun	FL, SW1, SE1	1	979	75	-----
1906	Sep	SC, 1; NC, 1	1	977	80	-----
1906	Sep	MS, 2; AL, 2; FL, NW2; LA, 1	2	958	95	-----
1906	Oct	FL, SW3, SE3	3	953	105	-----
1907	None
1908	Jul	NC, 1	1	985	70	-----
1909	Jun	TX, S2	2	972	85	-----
1909	Jul	TX, N3	3	959	100	"Velasco"
1909	Aug	# TX, S1	1	955	65	-----
1909	Sep	LA, 3; MS, 2	3	952	105	"Grand Isle"
1909	Oct	FL, SW3, SE3	3	957	100	-----
1910s
1910	Sep	TX, S2	2	965	90	-----
1910	Oct	FL, SW2	2	955	95	-----
1911	Aug	FL, NW1; AL,1	1	982	70	-----
1911	Aug	SC, 2; GA, 1	2	972	85	-----
1912	Sep	AL, 1; FL, NW1	1	986	65	-----
1912	Oct	TX, S2	2	970	85	-----
1913	Jun	TX, S1	1	986	65	-----
1913	Sep	NC, 1	1	976	75	-----
1913	Oct	SC, 1	1	989	65	-----
1914	None
1915	Aug	FL, NE1	1	990	65	-----
1915	Aug	TX, N4, C1; LA, 1	4	940	115	"Galveston"
1915	Sep	FL, NW1	1	982	80	-----
1915	Sep	LA, 3; MS, 2	3	944	110	"New Orleans"
1916	Jul	MS, 3; AL, 2; FL, NW2	3	950	105	-----
1916	Jul	SC, 2	2	960	95	-----
1916	Aug	TX, S4	4	932	115	-----
1916	Oct	AL, 2; FL, NW2	2	970	95	-----
1917	Sep	FL, NW3; LA, 2; AL, 1	3	949	100	-----
1918	Aug	LA, 3; TX, N1	3	955	105	-----
1918	Aug	NC, 1	1	988	65	-----
1919	Sep	FL, SW4, SE2; TX, S3, C3	4	927	130	-----
1920s
1920	Sep	LA, 2	2	975	85	-----
1921	Jun	TX, C1, N1	1	980	80	-----
1921	Oct	FL, SW3, NW2, NE1	3	958	100	"Tampa Bay"
1922	None
1923	Oct	LA, 1; MS, 1	1	983	70	-----
1924	Aug	* NC, 1; MA, 1	1	963	65
1924	Sep	FL, NW1	1	980	75	-----
1924	Oct	FL, SW1, SE1	1	975	80	-----
1925	None
1926	Jul	FL, NE2; SE1	2	967	90	-----
1926	Aug	LA, 3	3	955	100	-----
1926	Sep	FL, SE4, SW3, NW3; AL, 3; MS, 1	4	930	125	"Great Miami"
1926	Oct	* FL, SW1, SE1	1	949	75	-----
1927	None
1928	Aug	FL, SE2	2	977	85	-----
1928	Sep	FL, SE4, SW3, NE1, NW1; GA, 1; SC, 1	4	929	125	"Lake Okeechobee"
1929	Jun	TX, C1	1	982	80	-----
1929	Sp-Oc	FL, SE3, SW2, NW1	3	948	100	-----
1930s
1930	None
1931	None
1932	Aug	TX, N4, C1	4	935	130	"Freeport"
1932	Sep	AL, 1; FL, NW1	1	979	75	-----
1933	Jl-Au	# TX, S1; FL, SE1	1	975	80	-----
1933	Aug	NC, 1; VA, 1; MD, 1	1	963	80	-----
1933	Sep	TX, S3	3	940	110	-----
1933	Sep	FL, SE3	3	948	110	-----
1933	Sep	* NC, 2; VA, 1	2	952	85	-----
1934	Jun	LA, 2	2	966	85	-----
1934	Jul	TX, S1	1	979	75	-----
1934	Sep	* NC, 1; NJ, 1; NY, 1	1	975	65	-----
1935	Sep	FL, SE5, SW5, NW2; I-GA, 1	5	892	160	"Labor Day"
1935	Nov	FL, SE2, NE1	2	965	85	-----
1936	Jun	TX, C1	1	987	70	-----
1936	Jul	FL; NW2; I-AL,1	2	964	90	-----
1936	Sep	NC, 1; VA, 1	1	964	75	-----
1937	None
1938	Aug	LA, 1	1	995	65	-----
1938	Sep	NY, 3; CT, 3; RI, 3; MA, 2	3	941	105	"Great New England"
1939	Aug	FL, SE1, NW1	1	985	65	-----
1940s
1940	Aug	TX, N2; LA, 2	2	972	85	-----
1940	Aug	SC, 2; GA, 1	2	972	85	-----
1941	Sep	TX, N3,C2	3	942	110	-----
1941	Oct	FL, SE2, SW1, NW1, I-GA, 1	2	980	85	-----
1942	Aug	TX, N1	1	992	65	-----
1942	Aug	TX, C3, N2	3	950	100	-----
1943	Jul	TX, N2	2	967	90	-----
1944	Aug	NC, 1	1	985	70	-----
1944	Sep	NC, 2; VA, 2; NY, 2; CT, 1; RI, 2; MA, 1; NJ, 1	2	954	90	"Great Atlantic"
1944	Oct	FL, SW3, NE2, NW1	3	949	105	-----
1945	Jun	FL, NW1	1	985	70	-----
1945	Aug	TX, C2, S1, N1	3	963	100	-----
1945	Sep	FL, SE4, SW3, NE1	4	949	115	-----
1946	Oct	FL, SW1, NW1	1	980	75	-----
1947	Aug	TX, C1	1	984	70	-----
1947	Sep	FL, SE4, SW2, LA, 2, MS, 2	4	943	115	-----
1947	Oct	GA, 2, SC, 2, FL, SW1, SE1	2	965	90	-----
1948	Sep	LA, 1	1	983	70	-----
1948	Sep	FL, SW4, SE2	4	940	115	-----
1948	Oct	FL, SW2, SE2	2	963	90	-----
1949	Aug	*NC, 1	1	977	70	-----
1949	Aug	FL, SE4, SW1, NW1, NE1, GA, 1	4	954	115	-----
1949	Oct	TX, N2, C1	2	965	95	-----
1950s
1950	Aug	AL, 1, FL, NW1	1	979	75	Baker
1950	Sep	FL, NW3, SW1	3	960	105	Easy
1950	Oct	FL, SE4, NE1	4	955	115	King
1951	None
1952	Aug	SC, 2	2	980	85	Able
1953	Aug	NC, 1	1	975	80	Barbara
1953	Sep	FL, NW1	1	975	80	Florence
1953	Oct	FL, SW1	1	980	75	Hazel
1954	Aug	NY, 3; CT, 3; RI, 3; MA, 2; NC, 1	3	955	100	Carol
1954	Sep	MA, 2; NC, 1; NY, 1; RI, 1	2	950	95	Edna
1954	Oct	SC, 4; NC, 4	4	938	115	Hazel
1955	Aug	NC, 2; VA, 1	2	962	85	Connie
1955	Sep	NC, 2	2	955	90	Ione
1956	Sep	LA, 1; FL, NW1	1	974	80	Flossy
1957	Jun	LA, 3; TX, N2	3	946	110	Audrey
1958	Sep	* NC, 3	3	938	110	Helene
1959	Jul	SC, 1	1	995	65	Cindy
1959	Jul	TX, N1	1	980	75	Debra
1959	Sep	SC, 4	4	951	115	Gracie
1960s
1960	Sep	FL, SW4, SE4, NE1; NC, 2; VA, 1; NY, 2; CT, 1; RI, 1; MA, 1	4	930	125	Donna
1960	Sep	LA, 1; MS, 1	1	980	80	Ethel
1961	Sep	TX, C4. N3, S1	4	931	125	Carla
1962	None
1964	Aug	FL, SE2	2	968	95	Cleo
1964	Sep	FL, NE2	2	966	95	Dora
1964	Oct	LA, 2	2	959	90	Hilda
1964	Oct	FL, SW2, SE1	2	970	90	Isbell
1965	Sep	FL, SE3, SW3, LA, 4	4	946	115	Betsy
1966	Jun	* FL, SW2,NW1	3	962	100	Alma
1966	Oct	FL, SW2, SE2	2	984	85	Inez
1967	Sep	# TX, S3	3	940	100	Beulah
1968	Oct	FL, NW2, NE1; NC, 1	2	978	85	Gladys
1969	Aug	LA, 5; MS, 5; AL, 1	5	900	150	Camille
1970s
1970	Aug	TX, S4	4	944	120	Celia
1971	Sep	LA, 2	2	978	-----	Edith
1971	Sep	TX, C1	1	979	-----	Fern
1971	Sep	NC, 1	1	995	-----	Ginger
1972	Jun	FL, NW1; NY, 1; CT, 1	1	980	-----	Agnes
1973	None
1974	Sep	LA, 3	3	952	-----	Carmen
1975	Sep	FL, NW3; I-AL, 1	3	955	-----	Eloise
1976	Aug	NY, 1	1	980	-----	Belle
1977	Sep	LA, 1	1	995	-----	Babe
1978	None
1979	Jul	LA, 1	1	986	-----	Bob
1979	Sep	FL, SE2, NE2; GA, 2; SC, 2	2	970	-----	David
1979	Sep	AL, 3; MS, 3	3	946	-----	Frederic
1980s
1980	Aug	TX, S3	3	945	100	Allen
1981	None
1982	None
1983	Aug	TX, N3	3	962	100	Alicia
1984	Sep	* NC, 2	2	949	95	Diana
1985	Jul	SC, 1	1	1003	65	Bob
1985	Aug	LA, 1	1	987	80	Danny
1985	Sep	AL, 3; MS, 3; FL, NW3	3	959	100	Elena
1985	Sep	NC, 3; NY, 3; CT, 2; NH, 2; ME, 1	3	942	90	Gloria
1985	Oct	LA, 1	1	971	75	Juan
1985	Nov	FL, NW2; I-GA 1	2	967	85	Kate
1986	Jun	TX, N1	1	990	75	Bonnie
1986	Aug	NC, 1	1	990	65	Charley
1987	Oct	FL, SW1	1	993	65	Floyd
1988	Sep	LA, 1	1	984	70	Florence
1989	Aug	TX, N1	1	986	70	Chantal
1989	Sep	SC, 4; I-NC 1	4	934	120	Hugo
1989	Oct	TX, N1	1	983	75	Jerry
1990s
1990	None
1991	Aug	RI, 2; MA, 2; NY, 2; CT, 2	2	962	90	Bob
1992	Aug	FL, SE5, SW4; LA, 3	5	922	145	Andrew
1993	Aug	* NC, 3	3	961	100	Emily
1994	None
1995	Aug	FL, NW2, SE1	2	973	85	Erin
1995	Oct	FL, NW3, I-AL 1	3	942	100	Opal
1996	Jul	NC, 2	2	974	90	Bertha
1996	Sep	NC, 3	3	954	100	Fran
1997	Jul	LA, 1; AL, 1	1	984	70	Danny
1998	Aug	NC, 2	2	964	95	Bonnie
1998	Sep	FL, NW1	1	987	70	Earl
1998	Sep	FL, SW2; MS, 2	2	964	90	Georges
1999	Aug	TX, S3	3	951	100	Bret
1999	Sep	NC, 2	2	956	90	Floyd
1999	Oct	* FL, SW1; NC, 2	2	964	95	Irene
2000s
2000	None
2001	None
2002	Oct	LA, 1	1	963	80	Lili
2003	Jul	TX, C1	1	979	80	Claudette
2003	Sep	NC, 2; VA, 1	2	957	90	Isabel
2004	Aug	* NC, 1	1	972	70	Alex
2004	Aug	FL, SW4, SE1, NE1; SC, 1; NC, 1	4	941	130	Charley
2004	Aug	SC, 1	1	985	65	Gaston
2004	Sep	FL, SE2, SW1	2	960	90	Frances
2004	Sep	AL, 3; FL, NW3	3	946	105	Ivan
2004	Sep	FL, SE3, SW1, NW1	3	950	105	Jeanne
2005	Jul	LA, 1	1	991	65	Cindy
2005	Jul	FL, NW3; I-AL 1	3	946	105	Dennis
2005	Aug	FL, SE1, SW1; LA, 3; MS, 3; AL, 1	3	920	110	Katrina
2005	Sep	* NC, 1	1	982	65	Ophelia
2005	Sep	FL, SW1; LA, 3; TX, N2	3	937	100	Rita
2005	Oct	FL, SW3; FL, SE2	3	950	105	Wilma
2006	None
2007	Sep	TX, N1; LA, 1	1	985	80	Humberto
2008	Jul	TX, S1	1	967	75	Dolly
2008	Sep	LA, 2	2	954	90	Gustav
2008	Sep	TX, N2; LA, 1	2	950	95	Ike
2009	None
2010s
2010	None
2011	Aug	NC, 1	1	952	75	Irene
2012	Aug	LA, 1	1	966	70	Isaac
2012	Oct	* NY, 1	1	942	65	Sandy
2013	None
2014	Jul	NC, 2	2	973	85	Arthur
2015	None
2016	Sep	FL, NW1	1	981	70	Hermine
2016	Oct	* FL, NE2; GA, 1; SC, 1; NC, 1	2	963	85	Matthew
2017	Aug	TX,C4	4	937	115	Harvey
2017	Sep	FL, SW4,SE 1	4	931	115	Irma
2017	Oct	LA 1, MS 1	1	983	65	Nate
2018	Sep	NC, 1	1	956	80	Florence
2018	Oct	FL, NW5; I-GA, 2	5	919	140	Michael
2019	Jul	LA, 1	1	993	65	Barry
2019	Sep	NC, 2	2	956	85	Dorian
2020s
2020	Jul	TX, S1	1	973	80	Hanna
2020	Aug	NC, 1; SC, 1	1	986	80	Isaias
2020	Aug	LA, 4; TX, N1	4	939	130	Laura
2020	Sep	AL, 2; FL, NW2	2	965	95	Sally
2020	Oct	LA,2	2	970	85	Delta
2020	Oct	LA,3; MS, 2; I-AL, 1	3	970	100	Zeta
2021	Aug	LA,4	4	931	130	Ida
2021	Sep	TX,N1	1	991	65	Nicholas
2022	Sep	FL, SC	4	991	152	Ian

An excerpt from "Climate Realism:

Indeed, in July 2021 the journal Science published an article noting “climate scientists face this alarming reality, the climate models that help them project the future have grown a little too alarmist. Many of the world’s leading models are now projecting warming rates that most scientists, including the model developers themselves, believe are implausibly fast.

The researchers then compounded their error of relying on admittedly flawed computer models as a basis for attributing changes in hurricane rainfall patterns by using the most extreme climate scenario generated by those models, RCP8.5. Research demonstrates the world hasn’t been on the RCP8.5 path, since before it was first generated by climate models. More recently, Climate Realism highlighted two scientific papers demonstrating that RCP8.5 future climate scenarios can’t occur. There simply isn’t enough fossil fuel in existence on the planet to make it happen.