Coronavirus: Risk to Children is Small from COVID - Facts

Coronavirus: Risk to Children is Small from COVID - Facts

It is difficult to find clearly stated, factual numeric data about children and COVID. The CDC has very little numeric data or raw numbers. Unicef's page is garbage. What are they hiding and why?  Now that the U.S. government has admitted that they have been plainly lying to the public about UFOs for the past 70 years, even the most ardent skeptic has to wonder what else the government is lying about, including covid. Being skeptical about government pronouncements has left the realm of tin-foil-hats and entered the mainstream now.

If you know of ANY credible sources of hard data, raw numbers Or other information about coronavirus and children, please use the feedback form to tell us about it!

Let's look at the data that is available:

2021 UK Study of Covid: Children's extremely low risk is confirmed by a large UK study

In addition to the extremely low risk of death or serious injury to children from COVID, these vaccines are still not approved other than an emergency authorization and there are no long term studies on the effects of the vaccines!
Data from the first 12 months of the pandemic in England shows 25 under-18s died from Covid. Those living with multiple chronic illnesses and neuro-disabilities were most at risk, though the overall risk remained low. The conclusions are being considered by the UK's vaccine advisory group. During the first 12 months of the pandemic (up to Feb. 2021), only 25 under-18s in the entire U.K. (rougly 50 million people) died from Covid-19, according to public health data analyzed by scientists at University College London, and the Universities of York, Bristol and Liverpool.

See this BBC news story of UK Study of Children and Covid risk for the details.

Johns Hopkins University

Johns Hopkins worked with the nonprofit FAIR Health to analyze approximately 48,000 children under 18 who had been diagnosed with Covid in health-insurance data from April to August 2020. Dr. Makary, in the Wall Street Journal on July 19, 2021 reports that they found a mortality rate of zero among children without a pre-existing medical condition such as leukemia.

Let that sink in for a minute. In a country of 330,000,000 people, only 354 children as of August 17, 2021 have died from COVID-19 - according the the U.S. CDC's own data - and almost all (if not all) of these children had a serious near end of life disease.

In other words, the data, to the extent that the CDC will provide it - says no normally health children have died from covid.  They openly state that symptoms for the vast majority of children are so mild as to be often undetectable. See below.

 

The American Academy of Pediatrics

The AAP appears to have the most clear and accurate data about children and COVID. According to the American Academy of Pediatrics, the risk to children is very small, saying

"At this time, it appears that severe illness due to COVID-19 is rare among children. "

The academy reports on September 8, 2020:

"Hospitalizations (23 states and NYC reported) Children were 0.7%-3.7% of total reported hospitalizations, and between 0.3%-8.3% of all child COVID-19 cases resulted in hospitalization
Mortality (42 states and NYC reported)* Children were 0%-0.3% of all COVID-19 deaths, and 18 states reported zero child deaths. In states reporting, 0%-0.2% of all child COVID-19 cases resulted in death"

As of July 2021, the accepted data is fewer than 335 children in the whole of the US (population around 325 million) died from COVID.  The American Academy of Pediatrics says "​In states reporting, 0.00%-0.03% of all child COVID-19 cases resulted in death" In other words, the odds greater than 99.97% that your child will recover if they get COVID. 

European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control

The European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control has a few general observations:

  • A small proportion (<5%) of overall COVID-19 cases reported in the EU/EEA and the UK are among children (those aged 18 years and under). When diagnosed with COVID-19, children are much less likely to be hospitalized or have fatal outcomes than adults.
  • Children are more likely to have a mild or asymptomatic infection, meaning that the infection may go undetected or undiagnosed.

The CDC's data on COVID and Children

The CDC's website has a few pages on the subject, but they are positively dreadful. Nothing is clearly stated or clearly presented. I challenge you to make sense out of this page: https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/mm6914e4.htm It appears as though this page dates back to April 2, 2020 which could explain the ambiguity, but why hasn't the page been updated, replaced or redirected in the 5 months since?

Even the CDC's summary is ambiguous:

"Data from China suggest that pediatric coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases might be less severe than cases in adults and that children (persons aged <18 years) might experience different symptoms than adults."

Different symptoms? What about the severity? The frequency? data from China? 6 months on, the CDC has no data of its own from the U.S.?

They add:

relatively few children with COVID-19 are hospitalized, and fewer children than adults experience fever, cough, or shortness of breath. Severe outcomes have been reported in children, including three ... deaths.

There is another page, more recent, updated Aug. 18, 2020 which is not specifically about children, but includes some data : https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/covid-data/investigations-discovery/hospitalization-death-by-age.html

This table (below) is from that page. It compares various age groups against the 18-29 year old group. It is difficult to make sense of the data, since they are only providing comparions, no hard raw data, and nothing about the sources of the data.

COVID-19 Hospitalization and Death by Age

The CDC has yet another page from August 19, 2020, https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/pediatric-hcp.html , stating:

Hospitalization rates in children are significantly lower than hospitalization rates in adults with COVID-19, suggesting that children may have less severe illness from COVID-19 compared to adults.5, 6 Visit CDC's Cases, Data, and Surveillance page for current CDC data.

Some key excepts from the CDC's August 19, 2020 page:

  • Recent COVID-19 hospitalization surveillance data shows that the rate of hospitalization among children is low (8.0 per 100,000 population) compared with that in adults (164.5 per 100,000 population),...
  • There is limited evidence about which underlying medical conditions in children might increase the risk for severe illness.
  • Children with symptoms of an infectious disease should not attend school, but the length of time the child should stay home depends on the most likely etiology of illness (COVID-19 or not). Return to school policies for children with COVID-19 should be based on CDC's recommendation for discontinuation of home isolation. A negative test or doctor's note should not be required for return to school upon completion of the 10 days of isolation with improvement of symptoms.

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